Nowcasting UK GDP before its official release using monthly indicators (Index of Services, Index of Production) via bridge equation and dynamic factor model
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Updated
Jul 17, 2026 - Jupyter Notebook
Nowcasting UK GDP before its official release using monthly indicators (Index of Services, Index of Production) via bridge equation and dynamic factor model
End-to-End PyTorch implementation of Chang & Kim's (2026) iVDFM pipeline, Includes: amortized encoder, RegimeNet simplex embeddings, Laplace PriorNet, diagonal AR(p) companion-form dynamics, and injective MLP decoder. Trained via ELBO with reparameterized Laplace innovations. Benchmarked against iTransformer and TimeMixer baselines.
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