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LPPL-Bitcoin-in-R

This repository is a collection of code written in R used to analyse the price behaviour and volatility of Bitcoin prior to the conclusion of a bubble-like phase. The code was initially used for my university thesis but can be adapted to fit any price series.

It uses the Log-Periodic-Power-Law (LPPL) model proposed by Sornette, Johansen et al (1998, 2000) and fits it according to i) a model transformation (see Filiminov and Sornette, 2013); followed by ii) an evolutionary search algorithm (see Jacobsson, 2009). Also included are diagnostic tests, model checks and sensitivity analysis.

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Analysis of speculative/bubble-like behaviour using LPPL model (exponential accelerations with oscillations). Fitted to Bitcoin data. Submitted for my university thesis at Cambridge, 1st class awarded.

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