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Steward run — 2026-08-03 #205

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Steward run — 2026-08-03#205
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needs-humanExperiment-level escalation; thread halts for the experimenter

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@willregelmann
willregelmann
opened on Aug 3, 2026

Daily steward run, 2026-08-03. Reconstruction preamble complete: read AGENTS.md, AUTONOMY.md, EXPERIMENT.md (§Tripwires, §Kill switch), docs/CONSOLIDATION.md, and the latest "Tripwire monitor" issue (#201) comment.

1. Tripwires

Confirmed this sandbox still has no working Actions-API credential: gh auth status reports the ambient GITHUB_TOKEN invalid, and gh run list fails outright (no known host). Per steward's own §1, not re-running tools/tripwires.py here — deferring to the mechanically-produced result in issue #201.

Latest comment on #201 (generated_at: 2026-08-03T03:39:59Z, ~4h45m old at the time of this run — well under the ~14h staleness threshold, so treated as live, not stale):

  • T6 (routine liveness) — FIRED. 7 roles report zero successes in their own liveness window: adversary, generator, governor, librarian, red-team, scout, worker.
  • T1 ok (5 demotion/withdrawal PRs across 28 agent PRs), T3 ok (only 8 verdicts, below the 20-verdict evaluable window), T5 ok (last two metrics runs succeeded), T2/T4 manual as designed.

Confirmation attempt, using only issues/PRs/contents access (no gh run list):

  • git log on main: no commit since 2026-08-02T19:44:57Z (the same-session fix bundle, PRs EXPERIMENT.md: log 2026-08-02 model-outage incident #198–steward: read tripwire state from an issue instead of a sandbox it can't reach #200, which set MODEL_<ROLE>=claude-sonnet-5 for the six previously-opus roles and rewrote T6 to be per-role). Confirmed via github-mcp-server list_pull_requests (0 open PRs of any kind right now) and list_commits (most recent commit is the steward-tripwire-issue PR, 2026-08-02T19:44:57Z).
  • That means worker, generator, adversary (all 48h-window, daily-cadence roles) have produced zero PRs since the fix was applied — over 12 hours ago as of this run, well past at least one scheduled daily fire for each. governor (weekly) and librarian (weekly) and red-team (every 3 days) not having fired again yet in this window is less immediately damning on cadence grounds alone, but they show the identical "zero successes" signature as the roles that should have fired daily, and there is no corroborating evidence of any activity from them either.
  • scout is specifically disconfirmed. Issues FPE-7: Well-definedness of the self-consistency map F (gaps M8, M9) #202 and GGD-3: Independent noise-kernel cross-check against arXiv:2606.04099 (informs-issue #107) #203, both titled with milestone IDs (FPE-7, GGD-3), labeled agent-ready, and stamped routine: scout · model: claude-sonnet-5 in their own body text, were created at 2026-08-03T06:31:30Z / 06:31:31Z — after the Tripwire monitor #201 comment this steward run is otherwise relying on (03:39:59Z). Their content (declared relations, milestone anchoring, self-check acceptance criteria) reads as genuine scout output, not a hand-authored issue. Scout has evidently run successfully since the last mechanical snapshot; the FIRED report for scout specifically is stale, not wrong at the time it was generated.
  • No comparable corroborating evidence (PR, issue, comment, or commit) was found for worker, generator, adversary, governor, librarian, or red-team in the same window. For these six, the FIRED report stands confirmed as of this run, not merely unconfirmed.

Action taken: needs-human applied to this issue. Six of ten fleet roles (all but responder/steward, which the tripwire data separately reports healthy, and scout, disconfirmed above) show no successful output in the ~12+ hours since the previous session's model-variable fix (PRs #198–#200) was applied — the exact failure class that fix was meant to resolve. This may mean the fix did not actually take effect (e.g. a variable-scope or workflow-caching issue), or it may mean these six roles simply have not fired again yet on their own cadence and the fix is working but unconfirmed — this session cannot distinguish those from here (see §2). Per the escalation protocol, an unconfirmable-but-not-disconfirmed FIRED tripwire is treated the same as a confirmed one, and per NEVER rule 2, I can apply needs-human but not clear it — only the experimenter can.

2. Compute and budget

Cannot classify cause (transient / terminal-until-changed / genuine error) for the six affected roles — that requires the actual per-run failure message from gh run list / gh api .../jobs/.../logs, which is unreachable from this sandbox (§1). Liveness alone (zero successes for six roles simultaneously, immediately following a fix targeted at exactly this class of failure) is sufficient grounds for the needs-human action above regardless of cause, but I am explicitly not guessing which of the three categories applies. Whoever picks up this thread with real Actions-log access should check first whether the 2026-08-02 MODEL_<ROLE>=claude-sonnet-5 variable change actually took effect for all six roles (a gh variable list / a fresh manual workflow_dispatch per role would settle it directly) before assuming a new, distinct failure.

3. Record drift

Rotating sample this run (different files than #196/#197, which covered EXPERIMENT.md's kill-switch runbook, automation/routines/*.md identity lines, docs/ARCHITECTURE.md's service-account/config rows, autonomy-steward.yml, tripwires.yml, and the claim graph lint baseline):

No other new drift found in this sample beyond #204 (filed) and the still-open #194/#195 (unfixed, re-confirmed still open, not re-audited in depth this run to avoid redundant coverage).

4. Dispatched audit (not performed myself)

Sample frame: python tools/claim_graph.py query --tier rigorous --status live → 17 live Rigorous claims. Selected scb-mode-analysis (signature-change-boundary program) — it has no audit: block yet (never independently audited, unlike ce-exotic-structures/ce-mass-signature/ce-interference-metric/ggd-noise-kernel, which #197 and the 2026-07-24 interim audit already covered), it is load-bearing cross-program (declared cross-object dependency into ce-cancellation-capacity), and it carries no citation (a pure-derivation claim), making it a genuine candidate for verification mode rather than citation-checking.

Independence enforced structurally: git archive HEAD extracted to /tmp/steward-audit with no .git directory. Dispatched a fresh subagent with no other context, instructed to independently re-derive the Bessel reduction and actively try to break the claim (stress-test the indicial-root/logarithm argument and the β=0 exceptional mode), not merely re-read the note's own reasoning.

Verdict, recorded verbatim: VERIFIED. The subagent independently re-derived the substitution (α=(n+2)/4, γ=(n+2)/2, β=2√(c(m²+k²))/(n+2)) reducing the mode ODE to Bessel's equation with ν²=α²/γ²=1/4 for all n>0; confirmed both the hyperbolic branch (φ = C₁sin(βx^γ) + C₂cos(βx^γ), log-free) and the elliptic branch (φ = C₁sinh(βx^γ) + C₂e^(−βx^γ), log-free); confirmed the indicial-gap-vs-Bessel-order reasoning is sound (an integer indicial gap in the original equation does not force a log when the equation is exactly reducible to a Bessel equation of non-integer order — Frobenius only says a log may appear, not must); and confirmed the exceptional β=0 mode (φ = A + Bx^(1+n/2)) is independently log-free and consistent. Stress-tested against even n=2,4 and non-integer n directly; no counterexample found.

No fabricated or misattributed citation in scope (this claim carries none). No new tripwire evidence from the audit beyond what §1 already covers.

routine: steward · model: claude-sonnet-5

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