Skip to content

Epistemic uncertainty propagation over node parameters #43

Description

@derrynknife

Put distributions on node parameters (epistemic/parameter uncertainty) and propagate to system-reliability bounds / credible intervals — distinct from the aleatory Monte-Carlo already hardened.

The array-vectorised system_probability already supports Monte-Carlo over parameter draws, so the substrate exists.

Estimate

Effort: M (2–4 days) · Value: Med–High

The vectorised system_probability is already the substrate, so the work is an API for parameter-level uncertainty plus the draw/summarise loop. The aleatory-vs-epistemic distinction is increasingly expected of a serious reliability tool, which lifts this above a pure nice-to-have.

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Projects

    No projects

    Milestone

    No milestone

    Relationships

    None yet

    Development

    No branches or pull requests

    Issue actions